Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.256765 0.302134 0.350428 0.405383 0.465908 0.530269 0.603614
2024-10-06 0.205655 0.268918 0.340813 0.427453 0.527931 0.639749 0.772544
2024-10-13 0.158416 0.230574 0.318017 0.429150 0.564048 0.720063 0.911681
2024-10-20 0.123921 0.200859 0.300090 0.432531 0.599878 0.799841 1.052319
2024-10-27 0.101372 0.182116 0.292432 0.446144 0.647078 0.893682 1.212004
2024-11-03 0.084089 0.167175 0.287100 0.460886 0.694951 0.988879 1.375382
2024-11-10 0.069993 0.154070 0.282082 0.474495 0.740741 1.081915 1.537805
2024-11-17 0.054098 0.134556 0.264869 0.468833 0.759361 1.139635 1.656255
2024-11-24 0.043908 0.122472 0.257015 0.475092 0.793361 1.217260 1.800895
2024-12-01 0.033544 0.107317 0.242016 0.468905 0.808740 1.269690 1.913150
2024-12-08 0.023895 0.090512 0.221633 0.452170 0.807290 1.298354 1.993772
2024-12-15 0.019417 0.083876 0.218000 0.461083 0.842826 1.377627 2.142274
2024-12-22 0.013935 0.072743 0.204772 0.453746 0.854477 1.425117 2.250742
2024-12-29 0.012003 0.070749 0.208891 0.475516 0.910736 1.536214 2.447189
2025-01-05 0.008852 0.063417 0.201114 0.476101 0.934142 1.601069 2.581494
2025-01-12 0.006519 0.057394 0.195050 0.478973 0.960817 1.670785 2.723276
2025-01-19 0.005204 0.054478 0.195340 0.493088 1.005470 1.767059 2.903005
2025-01-26 0.004180 0.052103 0.196460 0.508568 1.052478 1.867292 3.089275
2025-02-02 0.003295 0.049675 0.197057 0.522933 1.097872 1.965735 3.274126
2025-02-09 0.002056 0.043529 0.187353 0.516775 1.109110 2.013631 3.388156
2025-02-16 0.001416 0.040250 0.184402 0.523394 1.141466 2.093213 3.547766
2025-02-23 0.000769 0.035076 0.175224 0.516746 1.150988 2.138377 3.658603
2025-03-02 0.000289 0.028808 0.161225 0.498840 1.140247 2.152183 3.724174